DOTHAN, Ala. (WDHN) — Since earlier today, there have not been any significant changes to the intensity or the forecast path of hurricane Dorian. One major thing that has changes sine Wednesday is that Dorian is expected to become a little stronger before landfall on the Florida east coast on Monday or early Tuesday.
Dorian is now expected for the storm to become a category 4 storm with 130+ mph wind. There are still many questions as to where the storm goes beyond landfall.
The ingredients are in place for a powerful storm to develop. Water temperatures are over 85° ahead of the storm and the storm will not encounter much of any wind shear.
Long-range guidance indicates that the system will make a turn to the north after landfall. The determining factor for Wiregrass impacts will be how soon this happens and if the storm stays over land vs. making it into the Gulf. Right now, things are trending for an earlier turn to the north, which would limit any impacts in the Wiregrass or along the Gulf Coast. This scenario would make Dorian a bigger issue for coastal Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia. That would be good news for us.
If it takes longer for Dorian to make the expected northward turn, the storm could make it into the Gulf of Mexico and would be something to really keep an eye on for the Wiregrass.
Stay tuned. We’re still more than five days out.